Optium Corporation: Share price defines bullish "flag" formation


Optium Corporation (NASDAQ: OPTM) designs and manufactures optical subsystems for use in telecommunications and cable TV network systems. Offerings include transceivers, transmitters, analog RF over fiber products, line cards, circuit packs, and optical add/drop multiplexer products. These devices deliver voice, video, and other data services for consumers and enterprises in the long haul, metropolitan, and access segments of telecommunications and cable TV networks. Major competitors include Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) and JDS Uniphase Corporation (NASDAQ: JDSU).

The firm pleased investors last week, when it reported fiscal first quarter (Q1) earnings per share (EPS) of 8 cents and revenues of $36.1 million. Analysts had been expecting breakeven earnings and sales of $34.5 million. Management also guided Q2 revenues to $38-$39 million, versus Street consensus of $38.7 million. Needham subsequently reiterated its "buy" rating on the issue and boosted its price target to $14. OPTM shares popped on the news and then moved into a bullish "flag" consolidation pattern. Prices frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that would be to the upside.

Altogether, brokers recommend the stock with one "strong buy", four "buys" and three "holds". Analysts expect a 30 % average annual growth rate, through the next five years. The OPTM PEG ratio (1.15), Price to Sales ratio (1.85), Price to Book ratio (1.70) and Sales Growth rate (20.36%) compare favorably with industry, sector, and S&P 500 averages. Institutional investors hold about 30 % of the outstanding shares. Over the past 52 weeks, OPTM has traded between $6.64 and $27.19 A stop-loss of $8.00 looks good here if one were to invest in the company.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com.

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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 10:58 AM

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