The cola wars between Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) and Pepsi (NYSE: PEP) that consisted of a high-profile battle for carbonated supremacy are quiet for now and, according to some experts, it's hurting the industry.
Some industry experts predict that soda sales will decline 1% per year for the next ten years. The accuracy of such a forward-looking prediction aside, it puts a lot of pressure on the soda companies.
Coke responded with its high-profile acquisition of Glaceau, the maker of VitaminWater, and Pepsi is preparing the launch of Tava, "An Inspired Sparkling Beverage" promising "Zero Calories. Zero Caffeine. Zero Worries." The packaging looks slick and the flavors -- Tahitian Tamure, Mediterranean Fiesta, and Brazilian Samba -- certainly sound enticing. The product will launch in the first half of 2008, but Pepsi investors should be wary of putting too much faith in it. A large percentage of new beverages fail to catch on with consumers -- Remember Crystal Pepsi, Pepsi Blue, and New Coke?
Maybe they'll be able to compensate for the decline in categories like energy drinks and vitamin-enhanced water -- but investing in Coca-Cola when you think Coke is headed for a long decline seems silly -- especially given that the stock hit a multi-year high on Friday.
With the decline -- and expected continuation of the decline -- in soft drink sales, you also have to wonder about Jones Soda's (NASDAQ: JSDA) prospects. The company has its own serious internal problems, and trying to make a comeback in a declining industry could prove too much for it to handle.
Perhaps big new marketing campaigns and a rebirth of the cola wars can help brighten soda's prospects -- but if the decline is caused by factors like increasing health-consciousness and a preference for noncarbonated drinks, it might just be a big waste of money.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
12-15-2007 @ 2:12PM
Jeff said...
I think Coke -Cola has it all over Pepsi. The number one thing I like about coke it don't loss its fiss 20 mins after you open. You can put the open can back in the firg and go back to it the next morning and the fiss is still there. You dont have to keep opening a new can or bottle every 20 mins just for the fiss. I think Pepis does that just so you can throw it away sooner and get another one. And Coke-Cola company runs more sales and at a better price to.
12-15-2007 @ 3:16PM
prz said...
I think an up a coming company is Celsius, its new and a trend setter. They're starting to get their distribution in place. I currently order it online (free shipping) and love all 5 flavors. I've lost over 20 pounds using it. CSUH
12-15-2007 @ 3:52PM
R. Richard Fusilier said...
I remember "Celray, a fine cola type drink made with celery juice. Its nows defunct, because, I think, of the Company's carelessly or non-thinking leaving a large lighted glass tank of it in a lighted glass front display (front window) of their main offices near Beverly Hills . Nightly, I saw large rats running around on a runway around this large lighted glass tank trying to sip the drink and sometimes falling in,, etc That was some drink I wish it came back with precaucion.
12-15-2007 @ 8:03PM
Brockage said...
Celray with rats -- that's hilarious.