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With General Dynamics, the goal is run silent, run deep

General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) logo It' s not everyday that investors are presented with a growth opportunity, supplemented by more-than-modest downside protection, but that's the case with General Dynamics.

General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) is a diversified manufacturer of corporate jets and heavy vehicles, and is the second largest military shipbuilder -- specializing in nuclear-class submarines.

Along with consistent earnings and dividend growth, analysts like GD's platform diversity, with civilian work (Gulfstream corporate jets) complementing defense contract work (Trident submarines, armored vehicles).
Analysts expect GD's revenue to increase about 10-13% in 2007, and 9-11% in 2008.

Moreover, GD's shares offer a measure of safety in that the submarine portion of the U.S. defense system is the force projection most likely to continue to be funded by Congress. Along with stealth fighters/bombers, submarines are the least-detectable form of military operations.

Long term, analysts generally see growth in GD's sales of business jets, land vehicles and munitions. Cost containment has been adequate. The Reuters F2007/F2008 EPS consensus estimates for GD are $5.07/$5.71.

The qualifiers? A reduction in U.S. Department of Defense appropriations would hurt GD's results, as would a failure to deliver existing work on time.

The First Call mean rating for GD is: Buy. [19 firms.] Mean 2008 target: $99.00. [high: $106, low: $94.]

Stock Analysis: General Dynamics is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Investors with an investment horizon longer than two years should be rewarded from GD's shares. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to purchase shares in this company: $62.

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Last updated: December 01, 2008: 10:43 AM

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