Red Hat Inc. (NYSE: RHT) shares are trading higher this morning the company posted third-quarter earnings of 10 cents per share on revenues of $135.4 million after the close yesterday. Analysts had expected earnings of 10 cents per share on revenues of $132.4 million. RHT also raised its fiscal 2008 revenue outlook to between $521 million to $523 million, up from $510 million to $520 million. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on RHT.After hitting a one-year low of $17.96 last December, the stock hit a one-year high of $25.25 in June. RHT opened this morning at $20.17. So far today the stock has hit a low of $20.00 and a high of $20.68. As of 11:30, RHT is trading at $20.66, up $1.87 (9.9%). The chart for RHT looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) Hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a March bull-put credit spread below the $17.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just 3 months as long as RHT is above $17.50 at March expiration. Red Hat would have to fall by more than 15% before we would start to lose money.
RHT hasn't been below 17.50 in over a yeat, and could lose up to 14.9% before this trade loses money.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in RHT.










