It wasn't long ago that Circuit City (NYSE: CC) had an offer on the table from a private equity firm for a takeout at $20/share. Well $20 a share seems like along time ago for Circuit City shareholders.
This company has turned into a total mess. Trading down at around $4, that stock has dropped more than 75% this year. Ouch! So why do I think it's a hot stock for '08? The fact is that the stock has gotten so beaten up I expect both a January effect type rally in the shares, and rumors of another buyout bid to propel the stock higher. While the way things are heading for the company, a buyer may surface only after they file for Chapter 11, I think someone will see the value in the brand and the distribution channel with all the stores and make a bid for the company. With a good management team, this stock could get back to the $10-12 range.
This is definitely a speculative play, but I have a feeling the reward far outweighs the risk.
Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned as of 12/30/07.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
1-01-2008 @ 10:24PM
IcoMertz said...
Value. Trap. If a buyer doesnt surface until after they file Chapter 11, you will lose all your money.
12-31-2007 @ 2:53AM
Mike Ishi said...
I would recommend not buying Circuit City. :)
Just my 2 cents... which will probably save you several hundreds of dollars.
12-31-2007 @ 8:22PM
John Wilkins said...
The management is incompetent. It's worth buying only if other people decide to follow the flock. Then, sell.
If you are buying because of mass psychology, follow the pundits. If you are buying because Circuit City is creating value, stay away.