Research firm Punk, Ziegel & Co is putting a "buy" rating on Citigroup (NYSE: C). The research firm feels that the bank is the best proxy for investing in the global investment industry and that its write-downs are secondary. Quoted by MarketWatch, the firm said "The stock allows one to invest in the world's financial growth better than any other company. Others perform in one part of the financial sector or operate in one portion of the world."
That comment may be akin to saying that if you are going to drown in quicksand, you might as well find the best quicksand available. Citigroup is hardly a strong investment and the fact that its business operations are global and that it operates in many sectors has nothing to do with whether the bank can do well over the next year.
Citigroup is being scuttled by huge write-offs in its mortgage-related investment portfolio. Earnings from other divisions in the company are not likely to offset this and the bank may have to raise more capital. The resulting dilution could certainly drive the price of the company's stock down. There have also been comments from Wall Street that the big bank may have to cut its dividend. That is likely to make it much less attractive to a certain category of "yield-minded" investor.
Citi shares could be hit by more write-offs and the need to bring in a large sum of new capital.
That hardly makes it a "buy."
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
1-02-2008 @ 11:15AM
NICK M. VASILATOS said...
CITIGROUP, may be down but not out.
Any one who buys the stock now with a degree
of patience will do well. As for the so called
dividend cut comments I would advise to
dismiss them. No one knows what will happen.
1-04-2008 @ 9:32PM
ssummerill@aol.com said...
I cannot agree more, having spent the last 40 years with this company. I remember CCC at $25 per share how lucky to have owned alot. I like you plan to buy all I can while down. We have the right men at the helm, and they will aride the ship in do fashion and sooner than later.
1-05-2008 @ 11:09PM
hkn said...
I agree with you. I have been a shareholder for almost thirty years and bought and it split and split and I just bought more. It is a buy and hold. The same with fannie mae. The young people should be thinking of the future. The same with GE. At 79 I am a self directed investor. Diversity is the key word and forget the brokers.
1-02-2008 @ 12:01PM
alan said...
I think that Dick Bove who is the C lover at Punk, et. al. has lost his mind. There is a lot more bad news coming for C.
Does anyone really believe that the $11b is the end of all SIV and CDO losses? Do you think C will pay nothing for their role in Parmalat? Will the slowing economy have no effect on C's huge card base? How about non-subprime mortgage losses? How about employee or shareholder lawsuits ala Enron?
So do you really think the bad newa/financials are over?
1-02-2008 @ 4:04PM
JJC said...
I think there should be a lawsuit against the board of directors at Citi for the terrible mismanagement they allowed to perpetuate there.
1-02-2008 @ 7:45PM
mike mccormick said...
C will be cuttting its dividend 50% and the stock will fall to the 10-12 dollar range in 08'. back the truck up and but at 11
1-03-2008 @ 10:03PM
P. Miller said...
Put Sandy back and watch the stock soar