Global warming parches China


Statistics on global warming have raised worries over China's largest freshwater lake, located in the southeastern province of Jiangxi.

Since the summer, Poyang Lake's surface area has dropped to 50 square kilometers from its initial surface of more than 3,000. A key element of these changes is a huge fluctuation from the summer flood season to the winter dry period. According to the Jiangxi hydrological bureau, the area of the lake was 10 times larger last winter, with a surface covering 300 to 500 square kilometers.

Statistics showed that the water level approached its lowest level ever in early December, when it hit less than eight meters deep. If we take into account forecasts showing that the current dry season will last until March, and the fact that people in the region haven't seen so little rainfall since 1960, we may see another record of the water level pretty soon.

The Chinese Academy of Sciences has also offered a pessimistic forecast and anticipates the winter drought will continue for the next 10 years.


Currently, Poyang Lake faces a lot of impediments such as the construction of dams along the river, especially at the Three Gorges, which the government declared caused "an environmental catastrophe." China's river also has to deal with the extra burden brought by the government's south-to-north diversion project, under which water will be transferred to the parched north.

Reports from the official Xinhua News Agency show that 100,000 people around the lake are suffering from shortages of drinking water. With the current state of affairs in China, it is tough to really tell just how bad things have really gotten. Journalists are definitely not encouraged to find out too many things about the current situation. One journalist asking how the local government managed the crisis was told by an official that it was "taking all kinds of measures." Sadly, there really is no telling just how bad the situation has become.

The effects on local villagers could be even worse than expected. Studies have discovered some connections between hydrological changes to Poyang Lake and a potential increase in the number of snail-fever cases. According to state media reports, 100,000 people are affected by the debilitating disease in Jiangxi.

Looking ahead, officials expect even more difficulties this year as low crop yields could drive up inflation. According to the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, the current drought has been the most painful in a decade. The State Council also warned last month that China will have used all its available water supplies by 2030.

Eliza Popescu is a financial writer for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.

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