Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) shares are slightly cheaper now than a decade ago, even though the company's per-share profits are more than 70% higher. The stock is unloved for a reason: Pfizer, like many drug makers at the moment, is finding it difficult to develop new medicines.
The company's biggest seller, Lipitor for lowering cholesterol, faces the loss of patent protection in 2011. Two of Pfizer's past hits, Zoloft for depression and Norvasc for high blood pressure, are already losing sales to generic competitors. Last year, a promising inhaled insulin flopped in the marketplace. The year before, a drug that raises levels of so-called good cholesterol proved too risky, and research was halted.
And Pfizer isn't alone. Last year, the Food and Drug Administration approved just 16 first-of-its-kind drugs, a 20-year low.
All that said, I think the stock warrants a purchase at today's price for five reasons.
- Pfizer's drug pipeline is unexciting, but not empty. The company has eight molecules in final-stage testing, four of which are for new uses for existing medicines, which makes them relatively safe bets. It also has enough money to buy promising drugs or drug makers: some $22 billion in cash and equivalents.
- The stock is unpopular. Nearly two-thirds of analysts who cover it do so with a "hold" recommendation. That means expectations are low.
- In the short term, the company can boost profits without boosting sales. Pfizer has aggressively cut costs in recent quarters, and has spent billions to retire shares, so 2008 earnings are seen increasing a respectable 9%.
- The stock is cheap. Based on its price/earnings ratio, Pfizer trades at a discount of 35% to the broad market and 45% to other drug makers. The dividend yield -- backed up by that aforementioned cash stockpile -- now stands at 5.5%.
- Pfizer still spends up for research, which bodes well for future profits. Recently the company has laid off chemists and hired biologists, since living organisms, rather than chemical compounds, are expected to yield the most promising future drugs. The stock turned up in a recent stock screen I ran at SmartMoney.com. It looked for drug makers with, among other things, low prices relative to their research spending.
Jack Hough is associate editor at SmartMoney.com and author of Your Next Great Stock.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
1-24-2008 @ 11:28AM
kevin said...
I bought 60 shares PFE @ $35.60 ave 2002 Just to make everyone feel beter.
1-11-2008 @ 4:50PM
The Dividend Guy said...
I recently did a review of Pfizer and found that it was a bit overpriced, but the dividend growth is really good:
http://www.thedividendguyblog.com/dividend-stock-wednesday-pfizer-pfe/