Citigroup expected to lose 97 cents


For more earnings forecasts, see Peter Cohan's Earnings expectations for 10 banks tell a mixed story.


Thomson Financial expects Citigroup (NYSE: C) to lose $0.97 when it announces its fourth-quarter results on January 15th. That's bad compared to the same period in 2006, when it earned $0.70.

Citigroup is a New York-based bank whose segments include Global Consumer Group, Corporate and Investment Banking (CIB), Global Wealth Management and Alternative Investments (AI). In the last year, its revenues were $117.9 billion and its net income totaled $18.5 billion. Its stock has fallen 48% in the last year, and it now trades at a P/E of 7.5.

Citigroup has a record of beating estimates. In the second quarter of 2007, it beat the estimate by 8.8% and in the third quarter it beat by 6.8%. My hunch is that Citigroup will lose more than expected.

Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns Citigroup shares.

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