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When will the market take its head out of the oven?

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Sometimes, the market works in mysterious ways. This isn't one of those days.

The Dow Jones industrial average plunged more than 234 points to 12,543.95 after Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) posted a record $10 billion loss, retail sales were weaker than expected, and oil prices declined, dragging down energy stocks. The Nasdaq Composite Index, fell 58.70 to 2,419.60 and the S&P 500 index dropped 32.10 to 1,384.15.

In an interview with Bloomberg News, veteran market pundit Laszlo Birinyi said, "There seems to be no end of bad news. Trying to bottom-fish may work when you're out there angling, but I'm not sure it works with financial markets.''

Good point. Investors in volatile markets often forget that stocks, such as Citigroup, are cheap for a good reason. Trying to pick a bottom in this market is going to be difficult because there hasn't been anything quite like the subprime mortgage meltdown.


The crisis is spreading like a rash to other parts of the economy. People who can't pay their mortgages, can't pay their credit card bills and car payments. Even rich people aren't immune. Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF), a purveyor of really expensive stuff, today cut its full-year profit outlook and reported a 2% decline in same-store sales during the holidays. Overall, retail sales had their weakest year since 2002.

Last year's heroes are this year's goats. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), which could do no wrong last year, has plummeted almost 16% in the early innings of 2008. Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) is down 7.7% and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) is off 4%. I'll grant you that there was some profit taking by tech investors and there are worries about consumer spending, but have the wheels fallen off the bus already?

What's it going to take to get this economy moving again? That's the question on the minds of President Bush and the people who are vying to replace him. Bush wants to reduce income tax rates and eliminate taxes on dividends for individual investors. Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama is proposing a $75 billion stimulus package aimed at struggling homeowners and families, including an immediate $250 tax cut and a temporary $250 Social Security bonus. Hillary Clinton's $70 billion plan includes emergency housing and heating assistance.

I wish I knew who had the right answer.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-223.328,280.74
NASDAQ-49.201,796.52
S&P 500-26.91896.42

Last updated: July 06, 2009: 05:26 AM

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