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Should we expect a short pull-back in gold before prices shoot to $1,000?

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Earlier this month I took a look at gold prices, and said we could be looking at a modern day gold rush. Well, consultants over at GFMS Ltd. seem to agree, and are now predicting that $1,000 gold is on the way.

I, for one, have no problem agreeing with GFMS, and believe that the only question is how fast will $1,000 gold be upon us. Right now we just seem to have the perfect set of economic conditions present that are needed to keep gold charging ahead.

The main factors that are at play are a weak dollar and high oil prices. Add on top of that the fact that the housing market has sparked widespread fear that a recession is on the horizon, and what you have as a result is a bunch of people looking for somewhere safe to keep their money, and you guessed it ... gold typically equals safety.


Gold is true money, no matter what the fiat U.S. dollar does, gold will always have value. In a market where people are becoming more and more concerned about the future, gold starts to creep back into everyone's mind as a place to store away a little "safe" cash. And lately, it seems like a modern-day gold rush with prices sky rocketing.

Is it too late to get into the rush? As I discussed earlier in the month, no, it is not too late to get in on the action. In fact, we could see a nice opportunity in the weeks to come, as gold could be poised to pull back a bit before making its charge to $1,000 an ounce.

Gold is currently trading up around $888 an ounce. Given just how strong prices have moved lately, it is not outside the boundary of reason to expect to see the market pulling back just a bit in the weeks ahead. It wasn't too long ago that gold had been up at $900, so we have already seen a slight pullback and GFMS has taken this into account and predicted that the first half of 2008 will see gold prices average at around $840 an ounce, and then see prices make their move up towards $1,000 after the middle of the year.

What are your thoughts? Would you be willing to be in gold at these levels? Where do you see the precious metal trading come this summer?

Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last four years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer

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Last updated: July 05, 2009: 03:34 PM

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