Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) bid $44.6 billion in cash and stock for Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO). This bid is 62% above Yahoo's closing price on Thursday.
This is great news for Yahoo shareholders since its new CEO is clearly in over his head -- flailing around with mediocre performance and an ineffectual combination of headcount reductions and investments in long-term goals that have little chance of actually being achieved. Like Rupert Murdoch's bid for Dow Jones, Microsoft's price is so high that it is hard to imagine another bidder topping it.
For Microsoft, the Yahoo bid is clearly focused on counteracting Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG)'s dominance of online advertising. When combined with Microsoft's online properties -- which had about 8% share of total online spending -- with Yahoo, which had about 19% share, the two companies will have a combined market share of about 27%. This is much closer to Google's 32%.
But it's possible that Microsoft's move to consolidate its position is coming at a time when online advertising sales are slowing down as Google's results reported yesterday were disappointing. And the number of U.S. Internet queries dropped 3.9% last month. Nevertheless, Google dominates this slowing market -- accounting for 75% of U.S. search advertising in 2007, up from 60% in 2006.
The market likes the deal with Yahoo up 58% in premarket (getting close to the proposed bid), Google down 9.6% and Microsoft down 2.3%. It should be interesting to see whether any other bidders emerge for Yahoo.
Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
2-01-2008 @ 10:55AM
abhorns said...
In the long run this seems to me to be an excellent opportunity for MSFT. Short term, Yahoo wins too. Interesting to see if anyone can top MSFT's tender. That's a lot of moola!!!
2-01-2008 @ 11:52AM
steve said...
What a gigantic mistake for Microsoft. Yhoo? Yang and Filo have not had a original idea in 5 years. And why would this change if MSFT takesover. All MSFT and YHOO know how to do is follow Googles footprints. They can't take the lead, they wouldn't know what direction to go in. MSFT needs to get back to basics, become a leader not a follower. Take well thought out risks. This move is just showing everyone how much Google is in the minds of Microsoft. And how scared they are. And now that Microsoft will takeover, Yahoo will lose the little cool factor they had. This could be the beginning of the end for Microsoft
2-01-2008 @ 12:45PM
Anuj said...
This is a great news for users,webmasters and Advertisers (but not for Google)
The WWW will be surely more competitive again....
The search will get better...
http://www.Find1234.com
2-01-2008 @ 2:03PM
JOHN said...
TAKE THE MONEY AND RUN QUICKLY BEFORE THEY CHANGE THEIR MIND.