OPEC tightening in March could slow U.S. GDP more

The oil ministers at OPEC could not leave well enough alone and just tell the world that they would not alter production at their current meeting. They had to add that they might decrease output in March because they believe that economic growth in the U.S. is slowing.

Reacting to these comments, the International Energy Agency said "With the current pressures from the financial system, the economy does not need additional downward pressure on consumer spending and growth from near record oil prices," according to the Financial Times. That is a masterpiece of understatement.

Much of the movement of oil price is now based on rumor and psychology as much as on real measurement of supply and demand. The willingness of China to underwrite gas and diesel prices perverts the global market's normal action. Oil suppliers are now keeping more of their output for growing numbers of cars and new infrastructure building within their own borders. The normal measurements of how oil is priced have warped into something new.

OPEC's hint at a March cut says one thing and one thing only. When oil is over $90, we make more money. The current slowing of the global economy has not dropped prices much. If it does, we can keep prices high by a slight manipulation of what we ship.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.