YRC Worldwide is ready for the long haul

YRC Worldwide (Nasdaq: YRCW) is the largest U.S. operator of motor carriers that offer less-than-truckload freight services.

Just because a sector is down doesn't mean that there aren't opportunities within the business category. Trucking transport has been a sector under pressure, and with the above in mind, YRC Worldwide is worth a review.

Analysts expect road freight sector conditions to improve gradually in 2008, with a slight revenue increase for YRCW, on mild tonnage gains and some pricing power. Margins should also improve in 2008.

Longer term, analysts expect YRCW to improve operational performance via ongoing efforts to rightsize its fleet and eliminate operational overlaps. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for YRCW are $1.64/$2.42.

To be sure, YRCW's stock carries considerable risk, but the argument here is that improved operations and a pull-back in average oil prices for 2008 to the 'low' $75-80-level will provide enough tailwind to improve bottom-line results. Those facts, combined with a p/e of 8 make the YRCW risk/return favorable.

The risks? A U.S. recession would (obviously) hurt YRCW's results. Analysts also have an eye on the company's pension costs.

The First Call mean rating for YRCW is: Hold. [13 firms.] Mean 2008 target: $18.00. [high: $25, low: $15.]

Stock Analysis: YRC Worldwide is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Investors with an investment horizon longer than 2 years should be rewarded from YRCW's shares. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to purchase shares in this company: $8.

Disclosure: Lazzaro has no positions in stocks. In addition to private real estate holdings, he owns corporate and municipal bonds, and cash certificates of deposit.