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'Ultimate defensive' global portfolio

Posted Feb 8th 2008 12:15PM by Steven Halpern
Filed under: International markets, China, Newsletters, Mutual funds, Japan, Commodities, Agriculture, Stocks to Buy, Stocks to Sell

Based in London, Nick Vardy is among the leading international stock experts. The editor of The Global Bull Market Alert has created a package of stocks called the "Ultimate Defensive Global Bull Market Alert" Portfolio -- using ETFs to go short on China and the British pound while simultaneously going long on agriculture and the yen.

"UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 ProShares (ASE: FXP) has been a hero during market weakness. While the market's current focus is on the exposure of Chinese banks to U.S. subprime loans, the real issue in Chinese banks is their own bad loans to state-owned enterprises. China has a long way to fall.

"Short the CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust (NYSE: FXB). With the U.K.'s fundamentals perhaps weaker than the United States, the U.K. currency should continue to weaken over the coming months.

"PowerShares DB Agriculture (NYSE: DBA) invests in some of the most liquid and widely traded agricultural commodities, corn, wheat, soy beans and sugar.

"Buy the Currency Shares Japanese Yen Trust (NYSE: FXY). The yen zigs when the rest of the market zags. A position in the Yen won't knock your socks off in terms of performance. But it will hold up well in times of turmoil and appreciate steadily as the 'carry trade' unwinds.

"A word of warning: This is a 'defensive' global portfolio that will hold up the best during periods of negative market sentiment. But understand that this is also the part of the portfolio that will underperform -- perhaps significantly -- on any 'relief rally' in the markets."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Tags: agriculture etf, british pound, china etf, currency etf, Currency Shares Japanese Yen Trust, CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust, CurrencysharesBritishPoundSterlingTrust, CurrencySharesJapaneseYenTrust, dba, fxb, fxp, fxy, global bull market alert, nick vardy, PowerShares DB Agriculture, PowersharesDbAgriculture, steven halpern, thestockadvisors.com, UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 ProShares, UltrashortFtse/xinhuaChina25Proshares, yen

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