A colleague based in Washington, D.C. recalled that moment in the 1960 presidential campaign when Kennedy's campaign staff knew that John F. Kennedy would defeat Richard Nixon. It occurred that fall, just before their first televised debate -- the first presidential debate ever broadcast on television. The then Sen. Kennedy, a Democrat, was fresh from a vacation at the Kennedy Compound at Hyannis on Cape Cod, Massachusetts. He was bronzed from days spent sailing in the sun, and he was well rested. He looked like a Greek sculpture.
Conversely, the then Vice President Nixon, a Republican, looked ashen, tomb-stone white, with deep-set eyes from weeks of campaigning.
And as is the norm before a show, the TV producer asked Kennedy if he wanted some make-up.
"Nah, I don't want any make-up," Kennedy said, and motioned off the make-up man with his hand.
Nixon, perhaps trying to match Kennedy, and despite his sweaty face, refused make-up, as well.
"I don't need any make-up either," Nixon told the director.
As it turned out, Nixon was wrong. Kennedy's bronzed stature and solid performance in the debate boosted his standing in the polls. Moreover, the image of Kennedy we see is considered to be one of the most iconic images in U.S. presidential history. Nixon, conversely, looked horrible during the debate, and sweated throughout. Nixon's appearance cost him votes that night, despite a solid intellectual performance, and separate surveys later demonstrated this. Among those voters polled who watched the debate on television, a majority thought Kennedy won the debate. However, among those voters polled who listened to the debate on radio, a majority thought Nixon won the debate.
Further, the sight of the bronzed and rested Kennedy vs. the obviously tired Nixon convinced Kennedy operatives that if they had a lead after the debate -- which they did -- that Nixon would not be able to close it. From that moment on, they knew that Jack Kennedy was on the glory road.
***
The question investors/readers can reasonably ask today is, is Sen. Barack Obama (D-Illinois), on the glory road? There are some parallels between Obama's campaign in 2008, and J.F.K.'s campaign in 1960.
The short answer is that it's just too soon to tell, but the beginnings of a big change in American politics, and in public policy, are there.
Obama is attracting new voters in large numbers, primarily African-Americans and young voters ages 18-21. If current trends continue, turnout records will be set for these two groups, a demographic that favors Obama decidedly. He is also attracting young couples and young, urban professionals (also called Yuppies). He is raising large amounts of campaign funds. Equally significant, he also has received the endorsement of several key members of the Democratic Party establishment, most notably, Sen. Ted Kennedy and Sen. John Kerry, both from Massachusetts. Most significantly, he has performed well in primaries throughout the United States, drawing standing-room-only crowds. In short, Obama has had about as good an early primary season as any new candidate can have, and his performance has produced a dead-heat in the contest to become the party's presidential nominee.
But party nominations, like baseball pennants, are not won after the first two months. Obama will need three more months of solid campaigning, during which he must demonstrate what changes he would make to improve the nation and correct its problems, what programs he would start or expand to increase hope, and what initiatives he would undertake to unite a bitterly partisan Washington, D.C. and a nation seemingly split between blue and red states on the issues that matter most.
As noted, it's just too soon to tell, but so far Sen. Obama is off to a good start.
-----------------------------------
Also read Lazzaro's two other posts in the series:
- Clinton campaign hopes for spring renewal after winter of discontent
- McCain is not your father's Republican Party nominee
Financial Editor Joseph Lazzaro is writing a book on the U.S. Presidency and the U.S. economy.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
2-11-2008 @ 3:47PM
Michael Schneider said...
Comparisons between Barack Obama and John Kennedy are destined to occur and Obama does have some qualities in common with Kennedy-- both were young and very articulate and both had inspirational messages. One difference though is that although John Kennedy was young he was the son of a US ambassador who raised a family immersed in politics and trained in diplomacy. Even so, Kennedy made some youthful mistakes in his 1st year in office. Barack Obama really doesn't have the degree of preparation John Kennedy brought to the Presidency. The American public has been willing to accept a certain degree of inexperience in its political leaders however- especially when other qualities are strong.
2-11-2008 @ 4:03PM
SJ said...
youthful mistakes backed by training in diplomacy is one thing and JFK had that but Obama is constantly making mistakes even now and does not have the training in diplomacy. With what mistakes that he would make in the presidency please do not nominate him or you will be sealing the final downfall of the USA. We need a President that has at least a decent amount of experience in foreign and domestic affairs.
2-13-2008 @ 2:08PM
H. Kost said...
Sen. Obama is not a JFK in any way shape or form.
JFK had to deal with only with Russia and we were a World Power then and our Country was strong.
We now have Russia, China, N. Korea, Iran, Afganistan, Irag, Palestinians, etc. Hamas, Hezbola, UBL and his world wide terrorist group, etc. We have been attacked on our soil, 2001, and we are still fighting those who have were responsible with no end in sight.
Our economy is being attacked from within and from outside of our borders. Our reputation is in the dumps. We have an a unpopular and in various countries a hated President. Those who were frighten or really relied on us are NO more. They have allies of their own and those who have similar ideas who agree with them as equals. We pay 25% of the UN dues and get nothing for it other than a seat where others veto our votes.
We maybe a nuclear power but their are NOW a number of them who have bombs and those who will get them by hook or by crook. They are buying our, US corp assets at bargain prices and have tons of money to spend. We are going to them to ask them to invest. What was ours alone is no more. Manufacturing, Jobs, Foreclosures, Proverty or Poor, Infrastruture Crumbling in various areas, etc. Immigration problems
unresolved or unenforced. Republican and Democrats Leaders are worried more about their Parties rather than the lives of US CITIZENS.
I don't think even JFK would want to be in the Oval Office now. By the way JFK was elected what 48 years ago, A DIFFERENT WORLD a DIFFERENT COUNTRY, a DIFFERENT TIME, DIFFERENT Domestic and Global, or as they would say then Foreign, TIMES.
We better be sure who we put in the Oval Office for the next 4 years plus and in Congress. We are on a slippery slope. As it is said, God helps those who Helps themselves. AMEN.
2-11-2008 @ 3:54PM
SJ said...
H Kost I could not have put it better. Not only is Obama not a JFK, he is also not the right person for the job. No matter what he or any of his supporters say experience in foreign affairs and in domestic affairs does count for an office like the President of the United States. It is sad that Al Gore did not choose to run.