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General Motors may find its buyout offer is too popular

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM), which today reported an auto industry record loss of $38.7 billion in 2007, is offering its unionized workforce of 74,000 a buyout package. The automaker, along with rivals Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) and Chrysler LLC which have offered similar deals, better hope that too many workers don't take it up on its offer.

There is going to be a steep learning curve for even the brightest of newly hired GM employees who under a new UAW contract receive half of the old wage of $28 per hour. Moreover, the last thing that Chief Executive Rick Wagoner wants is for GM's assembly lines to be staffed by inexperienced or overworked employees. The results of that could be disastrous.

Many workers, though, are going to take GM's offer and who can blame them. Workers with 10 or more years service can opt for a one-time payment of $140,000 to leave the company and those with less service could take a $70,000 pay out. These employees may be able to squeeze even more money out of the automaker in the coming months by being hired back as consultants at wages that are much higher than they are getting now.

But I doubt that GM and the rest of the U.S. auto industry can grow its business through cutting costs alone. At a time when global competition is becoming brutal, The Big 3 can't afford to lose too many workers who know how to build cars that people want at prices they can afford.

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 03:35 PM

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