Are you disgusted yet? This week MBIA (NYSE: MBI) testified -- no they lobbied, hmm, actually they complained -- well the truth is they whined to Congress that short-seller William Ackman had trashed its reputation, and its stock for personal gain -- gee, no kidding -- but the big problem is he seems to have been correct to a major extent. For more on this see MBIA asks Congress to fight its battles with Ackman by Peter Cohan or MBIA plays the spooky short-seller card by Zac Bissonnette.
I own MBIA shares and recently "adventured" into more, but it was not based on management crying foul and everything being just fine. I did it because I think the company will work through the mess over time and that it is oversold now based on fear. MBIA needs to focus on cleaning up its exposure to risk and underwriting standards and stop looking for scapegoats.
Others are in the same boat. There are times the squirming around the truth is painful to watch. This week we watched a baseball pitching icon, Roger Clemens, remind us once again of the first rule of holes: "If you're in one, stop digging." I'm afraid this truism that I often refer to will continue to be a recurring theme in my stories every so often, because some folks just don't get it.
Certainly Andy Pettitte, a teammate of Clemens, must have learned it at a younger age, but for some it seems impossible. When Pettitte was confronted with the Mitchell Report -- something I wish had not been done at all -- he came clean immediately. Baseball fans want desperately for Roger Clemens to be innocent of taking advantage of the illegal substances that he vehemently denies using.
We all want to believe him. But with sadness in our hearts, it is getting harder as circumstantial evidence mounts and his waffling and contradictory testimony befuddles us all. Worst of all, it's never going to go away. Not in our lifetimes. It will come up over and over again. That is part of the pain that Clemens has cast on us all as the charade continues -- a charade not started by him, but by MLB owners and the players union.
This permeates our society, as the Major League Baseball owners turned a blind eye and the players union refused to demonstrate any integrity. With a wink and nod they contibuted to one more scandal. The results of this inaction are as bad as the illegal behavior itself. The owners' and the players' behavior was wanton and scandalous, and the media did not press hard enough either.
We investors are forced to be the audience to all this nasty stuff, and if you are not disgusted with the presentation you have been watching, there is going to be more. Over the last few months, our major financial institutions have been dribbling out bad information with great resistance to the truth.
Is there anybody out there who thinks we have heard the last of troubles at Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC), Citigroup (NYSE: C), Countrywide (NYSE: CFC), Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER), and other financial institutions? About their exposure to risks that they say they themselves did not understand?
Why do they dribble out little bits of information instead of just 'fessing up and moving on? Why do we have to get the news at the eleventh hour when some new investigation and/or arm-twisting by third parties, both private and institutional, forces them to make public their wrongdoing.
It's disgusting, but I'm afraid we are going to be spoon-fed bad news all year long. Maybe they think it is better for us not to know the full extent of the write-downs, fraud and ineptitude all at once, for fear of pushing the economy from the brink of disaster into a full-blown crash. In any event, bravo to those few stand-up guys that are willing to say "my bad," here is what we are going to do about it and here is how we are going to keep you all informed.
Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. To find potential opportunities and verify my track record, read Chasing Value or Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares of BSC & MBIA.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
2-16-2008 @ 8:28AM
Mike said...
AMAZING…. I had to laugh, when I found out that the “RATING AGENCIES” were judiciously handing out “INVESTMENT GRADE” rated CDOs, backed by mortgages with credit profiles …. that would be classified as “HIGH-YIELD” at best… These firms make MILLIKEN look like an admitted JAY-WALKER!
Wow… and I thought the mortgage biz was filled with a bunch of dumb over paid idiots!
2-16-2008 @ 8:51PM
Mr. noitall said...
Sheldon, even a smart, well informed guy like you didn't see all these problems coming. All bubbles burst eventually. Go back and read some of your own articles from Aug. 29th. & 30th. 2006. (Housing, Truth From Main Street, and Housing Bubble, Debt Bubble or Same Thing). Read some of those comments too, people were warned that this would happen.
2-17-2008 @ 10:35AM
T. Major said...
I personally don't condone any drug use at all of the illegal kind or the ones the government uses to control America's children. In light of the absolutely unnesseccary defecit our government has plagued us with, and all of the illegal activities on capital hill, the last thing I want those theives wasting time and money on is what an adult has been sticking in his body! I would'nt waste another dime by sending them to prison, they ALL need to take their debt and bill for their wars and leave our country before they sell the rest of it right out from beneath us! They can settle down in one of the countries they want to control so badly!
I wish we could conduct a CITIZEN inquiry on the illegal business they are involved in!
2-18-2008 @ 11:49AM
Sheldon L said...
Mr. N,
Warning bells were sounded by many and the huge profits and bonuses recorded on Wall St. are testimony to the unlevel playing field and high exposure to risk that was there... true enough.
However, the Triple-A financial credit worthiness of the CDO's (and other loans) in hindsight, although questionable, could not by any stretch be viewed as JUNK!
There were questions about these AAA rated CDO's but to go from the top rating to junk over night is much harder to fathom.
One of my main points herein is that tha cat is out of the bag and yet the financial institutions (and Clemens) do not come clean.
2-18-2008 @ 7:17PM
Mr. noitall said...
O.K., fair enough most people couldn't believe that junk could be turned into AAA. But it just goes to show you what people will do when so much money is involved. I think now they are not coming clean, because they are trying to buy time, hoping for a FED bailout. ( Which in my opinion won't work). Anyway my point is that when you see some thing going on that is ridiculous, like home prices tripling in such a short time, no money down, no credit checks, lowest rates in 40 years...., you should know that it will end soon.