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Tuning in to the Sirius (SIRI) earnings channel

Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: SIRI) reported Q4 and full-year earnings this morning, and I have to say that the company, led by the famous and highly-respected CEO Mel Karmazin, tuned into some good numbers. Revenues for the fourth quarter increased 29%; for the full fiscal year, revenues jumped 45%. The net diluted loss narrowed during the quarter to $0.11 per share versus $0.17 per share in the year-ago period, and for the year, it improved to $0.39 versus $0.79.

Perhaps the best news in the earnings release is the cash-flow situation. The company's free cash flow more than doubled for Q4, coming in at $75.9 million. And, hey, it was positive, which is important to note, since this company has sacrificed free cash over the years to invest in its platform. In fact, management noted that, for the first time, the second half of the year saw positive free cash flow (equal to $8.1 million for the period). And subscriber growth was impressive -- the company gained almost 2.3 million listeners, and it ended the year with 8.3 million subscribers. People gravitate toward the various popular brands featured on the platform, which includes shows by Playboy (NYSE: PLA), Jamie Foxx, and, of course, the king of all media past, present, and future, Howard Stern. There's also a lot of sports programming to add value for subscribers, as well as an upcoming slate of health programming called "Doctor Radio."

So, why does the stock trade in the low single digits? Why is it priced so speculatively? For one thing, there is the merger issue with XM Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: XMSR). Until that goes through, investors will have to wait for further guidance on the combination of the two platforms. Also, the market is going to want to see some consistent reports of positive net income on a GAAP basis to become really excited. I like the numbers currently associated with Sirius, and I think it may offer some upside potential for risk capital. As for myself? I'm not inclined to play it just yet. I'd rather see some technical strength assert itself before jumping in.

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Last updated: May 16, 2008: 01:39 PM

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