It is alarming to me that the same people who screw up the economy (or stand by watching) are the ones that are now promoting the remedies. They have proven without a shadow of a doubt that this is not their strong suit. The proposed economic stimulus package has bi-partisan support and calls for an estimated $156 billion of tax rebates ranging from $500 to $1,000 (+ $300 for each child) that might show up in May.
If we are going to add on to our already humungous joke of national debt, than I want to invest this capital in something that will bring a higher return on invested capital (ROIC) than the paltry one time mad money. That expenditure should be for national infrastructure projects like roadways, bridges, tunnels, and waterways.
We have all heard about the poor condition of our national infrastructure and the hundreds of billions of dollars of repair work and replacement that is desperately needed.
This alternative would bring visible results that every single person in the country would benefit from and improved linkages always stimulate economic growth. Road improvements even reduce fuel consumption by shortening routes and reducing friction both strategically and physically.
Furthermore, this form of stimulus goes directly to support middle and lower income workers, the ones hurt by the severe downturn in the construction industry. The government, like private enterprise, benefits when it can borrow cheaply and invest at higher returns. This has been historically true of infrastructure projects.
Giving people a one time hand out is like giving your kids some cash for the week end. They will enjoy it while it lasts and it won't last long. However, building something usable will have a benefit for several generations.
If you are interested in a few stocks that would benefit from this type of investment you might add the following to your watch list:
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BHP Billiton Ltd ADR (NYSE: BHP) -- raw materials
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The Black & Decker Corporation (NYSE: BDK) -- hand tools
- Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) -- heavy equipment
- Cemex SAB de CV (ADR) (NYSE: CX) -- concrete
- Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) -- heavy equipment
- Freeport McMoRan Copper (NYSE: FCX) -- raw materials
- General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) -- building systems
- The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE: HD) -- construction supply
- Honeywell International, Inc. (NYSE: HON) -- building systems
- Jacobs Engineering Group, Inc. (NYSE: JEC) -- engineering
- Johnson Controls, Inc. (NYSE: JCI) -- building systems
- Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW) -- construction supply
- Nucor Corporation (NYSE: NUE) -- steel
- Reliance Steel & Aluminum (NYSE: RS) -- specialty metals
- Rio Tinto plc (ADR) (NYSE: RTP) -- raw materials
- United States Steel Corporation (NYSE: X) -- steel
- United Technologies Corporation (NYSE: UTX) -- building systems
- URS Corporation (NYSE: URS) -- engineering
All of these do not present the same value and some of them, being conglomerates will be effected less than more focused companies. For example, I would expect CX or NUE to receive more benefit than GE or UTX.
- On a related note: Suburban slums -- city centers being revitalized
Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I do not own shares of any of these stocks except for CX. RS is one of my 2008 picks.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
3-05-2008 @ 5:51AM
al coholic said...
Works for me....
3-05-2008 @ 8:33AM
Richard said...
The economic stimulus is a feel good program to help American business see some growth in sales. The reality of this program is nothing more than election year pork barrel spending. The problem is that the federal government is increasing spending once again with no viable results. The infrastructure of roads and bridges are failing and we need to repair or replace many of these bridges. We do not need to continously build more roads and create more debt down the road in maintaining these projects. Remember that the cost of repairing these roads in the future will weigh heavily upon the future generations of our nation. Tax incentives to business to build in more rural areas would stimulate the economy and cut the need to many of these highway projects. It would also alleviate much of the congestion in the larger metropolitan areas.
3-05-2008 @ 11:11AM
stonehw said...
I agree with the use of the stimulus package to rebuild America. If we were to give each state 3 bil to repair roads, bridges and building that would be the real stimulus and i really belive we would not be in half the mess we are in now. Besides money is cheap now why wait until it gets more expensive?
3-06-2008 @ 2:30PM
gumby said...
$145 billion wont buy much union built highways and bridges anyway... look at Boston Big Dig $100 billion or so just kidding look at Oakland Bridge $6 billion and counting just because Willy Brown ex mayor of SF quarreled about which side of island to connect to new bridge because of a historic WWII general or admiral home that will be right under the bridge connection... Willy Brown play politics while unioin workers loaf back.... Willy Brown stole money from other badly needed expansions 30 miles to the east of SF here in my hometown we get a paltry 30 millin for highway widening while SF and Oakland got the lion share for doing nothing but hot air not worth messin with union elected mayors and politicians... let gasoline taxes pay for highways alone... and bridges too. by tolls... that is enough unioins waste too much but they can stay with their means by tolls and gasoline taxes enough said.... San Jose stole BART extension from other legs of BART system by bullying them out San JOse was never a tax member of BART by paying extra one quarter cent on sales taxes for 40 years yet jumpin in in last minute and saying we want the extension to San Jose.... San Jose dosnt belong to BART but Sacramento bowed to San Jose politics and Silicion Valley ...
4-17-2008 @ 5:51PM
Mike said...
I always get a kick out of people who toss barbs at "unions" but never even mention grossly overpaid CEOs and management that not only arrange their own sky high pay but add perks on top...