Capital One Financial Corp. (NYSE: COF) shares are trading higher this morning on news that yesterday evening's Visa (NYSE: V) IPO raised almost $18 billion. COF offers credit and debit card services co-branded with Visa. Visa this morning has soared above the pricing at $44 from yesterday and is currently around $60. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on COF.
After hitting a one-year high of $82.25 in June, the stock hit a one-year low of $37.41 in January. COF opened this morning at $51.65. So far today the stock has hit a low of $50.89 and a high of $54.46. As of 11:55, COF is trading at $51.85, up $0.36 (0.7%). The chart for COF looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an April bull-put credit spread below the $40 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 7.5% return in just one month as long as COF is above $40 at April expiration. Capital One would have to fall by more than 22% before we would start to lose money.
COF hasn't been below $40 for more than a few days in the past year and has shown support around $44 recently. This trade could be risky if the US economy continues to worsen, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find just above $40, where the tock has bounced twice in 2008.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in COF or V.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
3-19-2008 @ 3:50PM
KEVIN I said...
V (VISA INC.)
58.89 +14.89 (33.84%) Mar 19 3:10pm ET
Open: 59.50
High: 69.00
Low: 55.00
Volume: 164,706,636
Avg Vol: N/A
Mkt Cap: N/A
BUY " V '' IT HAD ITS IPO THE OTHER DAY. IT WILL BE THE NEXT MASTERCARD "MA". MARK MY WORDS!