XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: XMSR) shares are rising today as analysts again talk up the supposed completion of the US DOJ investigation into the XM-Sirius (NASDAQ: SIRI) merger. We have heard this kind of talk regarding this deal before, so not many are getting overly excited. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on XMSR.

After hitting a one-year high of $16.44 in December, the stock hit a one-year low of $9.62 in January. XMSR opened this morning at $11.57. So far today the stock has hit a low of $11.40 and a high of $12.07. As of 11:55, XMSR is trading at $11.83, up 61 cents (5.4%). The chart for XMSR looks neutral but improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a very negative 1 STARs (out of 5) strong sell rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an April bull-put credit spread below the $9 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. This particular trade will make a 25.0% return in just one month as long as XMSR is above $9 at April expiration. XM would have to fall by more than 24% before we would start to lose money.

XMSR hasn't been below $9.50 at all in the past year and has shown support around $11 recently. This trade could be risky if the stock breaks below its year lows, but for now the uncertainty of the company's situation could keep the stock in its recent trading range between $9.50 and $15.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in XMSR or SIRI.