Over the last quarter $100 billion has left equity funds. The FT says that data from Emerging Portfolio Fund Research shows that "investors pulled $70bn from US, Japan and Western Europe funds during the quarter." Some of that money went into funds which invest in emerging markets and a great deal of it went into safe money market funds.
The data means that many mutual fund companies will post bad first quarter figures, but the news is much more serious than that. Such a large amount leaving these funds means that stocks are being sold to provide the capital for redemptions. The process sets up a bad cycle. Stocks are sold to provide money to go into other assets. The sale of stocks continues to push equity indexes down. This leads to more withdrawals.
The only positive aspect to the news is that there is now hundreds of billions of dollars in money market funds, most of it very liquid. If the markets do begin to recover due to better news on earnings or a perceived end to problems in the financial sector, there is a great deal of "dry powder" to be put back in the market. That could further accelerate a market recovery.
But, if withdrawals from equity funds continues, that could be a long way off.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
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