$4 gas -- who is to blame?


From 2002 through the end of 2007 the value of a dollar has depreciated 29% according to the Congressional Research Service. After several dramatic interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve Board in the first quarter of 2008 the dollar has fallen further.

The exact amount is in question as it does fluctuate daily, but I think from all I have read it is not unrealistic to add another 6% bringing a loss in purchasing power of 35%. So what would gas cost if the dollar had remained stable? For conversations' sake it would be closer to $2.60.

We can blame OPEC, the oil companies, increased demand in China and India, terrorism or all of the above for high oil prices, but in the end it is the weak dollar that has created the most price pressure. In other words, we can blame ourselves.

We resist driving smaller cars. We increase power consumption with every new piece of electronic entertainment we purchase. We started a war without a workable plan for damage control or an exit strategy. We build mountains of debt. Then we demand that government do something to fix the mess that we got ourselves into.

That may be the biggest joke of all. We ask government, the entity with the least credibility and least efficiency to solve our problems. Most of us have received our notices about the government's economic stimulus package and our soon to be arriving checks in the mail. I still think we should Fund roads & bridges NOT mad money stimulus.

The last estimate I read about the cost of this refund was $156 billion. That is 5.2% of the $3 trillion dollar budget the President sent to Congress but you can slap that much more onto the price of gas and anything else with foreign components.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money.

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