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Cephalon (CEPH) gets a boost from Millennium (MLNM) buyout

CEPH logoCephalon Inc. (NASDAQ: CEPH) shares are trading higher today on news that Takeda Pharmaceutical, a Japanese firm, has agreed to buy Cephalon competitor Millennium Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: MLNM) for $25 a share. MLNM is trading up almost 50% to $24.45 currently, indicating that investors think this deal will most likely happen. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on CEPH.

After hitting a one-year high of $84.83 in June, the stock hit a one-year low of $56.20 in February. CEPH opened this morning at $64.94. So far today the stock has hit a low of $64.45 and a high of $66.18. As of 12:45, CEPH is trading at $65.27, up 1.05 (1.6%). The chart for CEPH is neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a bullish 4 Stars (out of 5) buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a May bull-put credit spread below the $55 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 7.5% return in just five weeks as long as CEPH is above $55 at May expiration. Cephalon would have to fall by more than 15% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

CEPH hasn't been below $56 at all in the past year and has shown support around $59 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out on 5/1) disappoint, but even if that happens, that position could be protected by support the stock might find between $55 and $60, where it bottomed out in the past two months.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in CEPH or MLNM.

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Last updated: July 24, 2008: 08:32 AM

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