Health Care Properties Inc: A healthy real estate play


The United States' uncertain, near-term economic prospects, combined with the housing sector's woes, have led many to, understandably, steer clear of real estate investments.

But that does not mean windows of opportunity do not exist, and one worth a review is Health Care Properties, Inc..

HCP (NYSE: HCP) is a self-administered real estate investment trust that invests exclusively in health care real estate throughout the United States.

Analysts like HCP's diverse portfolio, investments in life sciences facilities, and overall rental rates. Another positive: analysts like HCP's portfolio footprint, and modest pricing power, which has enabled it to increase both revenue and earnings at a healthy rate, no pun intended. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for HCP are $2.30/$2.45.

Further, although HCP is expected to deliver low-signal-digit net income growth in F2008, there is a sense building in Wall Street circles that both of the above EPS estimates may be a tad low, and assuming that is the case, the time to consider purchasing HCP's shares is now, not after earnings guidance is raised, should that occur.


The risks? Analysts are keeping an eye on HCP's exposure to senior living facilities, as well as operational shifts that could take place, due to future health care regulation changes.

The First Call mean rating for HCP is: Buy [14 firms]. Mean 2008 target: $32 [high: $36, low: $30].

Stock Analysis: Health Care Properties is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Investors with an investment horizon longer than two years should be rewarded from HCP's shares. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to purchase shares in this company: $27.

Disclosure: Lazzaro has no positions in stocks. In addition to private real estate holdings, he owns corporate and municipal bonds, and cash certificates of deposit.
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Last updated: February 13, 2012: 11:36 AM

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