General Electric (NYSE: GE) not only disappointed Wall Street investors this past Friday with its horrible results, but shocked investors as CEO Jeffrey Immelt gave the "all is alright" signal in mid-March. He should resign as he has had nearly 7 years to grow this once great company.
GE should also bite the bullet and spin off several segments into separately traded companies. I wrote about this extensively last year for AOL, but now the rationale is abundantly clear. This company--a major conglomerate--cannot deliver decent shareholder returns. Immelt took the reigns of GE on September 7,2001 when the stock was at $40. Nearly 7 years later the shares are at $32 and barely holding on. I find it amusing that some "value" investors think GE is interesting at this level. These were the same investors that found GE interesting and a value-play at $38 last year.
The problem with GE is not that it's too big: the problem is it is too complex. The largest industrial company in the world now is Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) with expected revenues this year of $550 billion. This company however is strictly in the energy sector--it's measurable and quantifiable. GE is a mish-mash of businesses, from light bulbs to jet engines to appliances to consumer loans, whereby some segments are doing well and others horribly. How does any analyst assign a proper PE ratio expectation?
One segment, the infrastructure division grew its revenues by an admirable 23% this past March quarter and its profits by 17%. With this kind of growth and visibility into the next 18-24 months on revenues because of contractual commitments, this division alone could command a 25 + PE ratio. GE as a whole is now trading at 14 X 2008 EPS estimates of $2.20-2.30.
The GE Financial segment was woeful and provided the negative surprise. This segment on its own would trade at a PE ratio of between 9-11 times. The NBC-Universal division showed only 3% year-over-year growth, but cash flowed very well. This segment should command a 15-17 PE multiple.
With GE split up into several separate trading entities, a new board of directors would be established for each segment as well as a new CEO and CFO. With new people come new ideas, fresh strategies and basic underlying industry expectations. The new segments would be focused unto its own business and attract a new set of Wall Street analysts. With this comes new and hopefully original research and stock price targets.
The problem with the current GE structure is basic industrial analysts follow the company. An industrial analyst is not an expert on media properties. An industrial analyst is not an expert in financial services or infrastructure companies either.
If GE truly wants to "bring good things to life"--for its ever patient shareholders, the board of directors should turn on the light bulb, terminate an ineffective Jeffrey Immelt and begin to spin off the parts. The spin offs would realize an incredible value that frankly the current GE is not going to see for a long, long time....
Georges Yared writes about game changing growth stocks in Game On Investing










Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
4-14-2008 @ 9:56AM
Bruce E Warnock said...
It is long past the time to separate the two positions of CEO and Chairman of the Board, and I have voted for that change in the upcoming Shareholder's Meeting.
After so many years of decline from the $60 stock price in 2000, it is time to give Jeff Immelt a close review with the look at having a new face in the top spot.
But the least we can do is remove him as Chairman and if he stays as CEO, make him report to the Board, not chair it!
4-14-2008 @ 11:11AM
Sheldon L said...
Some interesting thoughts George. I happen to think GE is a value but that is because of its break-up value. Entertainment and medical should be sold and would command a premium. The cash could be used to acquire more of the businesses that they are doing well with like turbines for planes, power, energy and water projects.
4-18-2008 @ 11:39AM
Marshall said...
Forgetting about last Friday (which only shows again how Immelt is not in touch with the way the markets work today), why isn't there more outrage about the last 7 years under his awful leadership?? A rubber stamp board-too big a company for any one shareholder to start a movement to remove him. Immelt would have been gone with any other comapny after a few years. Is there any one out there who can explain why this guy gets an endless free pass? Why are the professional financial journalists so afraid??
4-24-2008 @ 4:43PM
kbriggs2 said...
Uh, yes, Georges, I need guidance. A nine day absence during critical earnings releases is not a time to not blog...