Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) shares are trading higher after Citigroup (NYSE: C) posted a first-quarter loss that managed to encourage investors. Though C lost $1.02 per share, below estimates of 95 cents per share, revenues came in ahead of targets and investors seemed to be relieved that C's report did not contain any bad surprises. This could mean that the worst effects of the credit crunch may be behind investment banks like GS and C. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on GS.After hitting a one-year high of $250.70 in October, the stock hit a one-year low of $140.27 in March. GS opened this morning at $176.91. So far today the stock has hit a low of $176.91 and a high of $181.8. As of 12:00, GS is trading at $181.12, up $9.02 (5.2%). The chart for GS looks neutral and improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $130 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just three months as long as GS is above $130 at July expiration. Evergreen would have to fall by more than 28% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
GS hasn't been below $140 at all in the past year and has shown support around $160 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in early June) disappoint, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find around $140, where it bottomed out in March.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in GS or C.
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