Oil falls for third day to $112 on sluggish economic data, rising dollar
Oil, which had traded as low as $110.80, closed down 96 cents to $112.50 per barrel. Oil hit a record high of $119.90 per barrel on April 22, 2008.
The other major energy commodities also closed substantially lower Thursday. Heating oil closed down about 6 cents to $3.10 per gallon, unleaded gasoline closed down 5 cents to $2.85 per gallon, and natural gas closed down about 25 cents to $10.59 per million BTUs.
Take a picture: oil falls, again
Economist David H. Wang said manufacturing data released Thursday by the Institute of Supply Management indicating that the U.S. industrial sector contracted for the third consecutive month, and the dollar's rise against the world's other major currencies, took some the wind out of oil's sails, for now, at least. (The dollar rose 2 cents against the euro Thursday to $1.5440).
"We have a U.S. economy running on about 1 of 8 cylinders, if you can call it running, so that has to dampen demand somewhat," Wang said. "And even though the most important variable in oil demand growth today is emerging market countries, the oil market can not deny the impact on oil demand of a U.S. economy near or in recession. The U.S. economy is still too big to ignore." Wang added that he does not have any trading positions in any energy form.
Still, Wang noted that it would "not be prudent" to think that oil is ready to stage an extend pull-back. Global demand, particularly in Asia, remains strong, U.S. gasoline consumption, while down, is still large, and many institutional investors still list oil as an asset of choice for return-on-equity. All the above factors, he said, would have to change for oil to move substantially lower, below $80 per barrel. Wang sees oil's price staying in the $95-$120 range for the remainder of 2008.
"And when you do the math you see that $80 oil would require an oil price drop of $32 from today's price," Wang said. "Given current oil use trends, and unless some alternative energy form appears, it's difficult to envision oil dropping another $30 or so."
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
5-01-2008 @ 4:25PM
Richard Brulato said...
The drop in the price of oil doesn't translate to lower prices at the pump. Something has to be done to help the consumer.
5-01-2008 @ 6:37PM
Alouisis said...
Who is David H Wang?
5-01-2008 @ 6:42PM
Alouisis said...
This is just the next of a series of market manipulations. Internet bubble, electricity shortage, sub prime mortgages and now commodities. Each of these events were not limited to the popularized names they have become known by, the whole series encompassed a whole panopoly of related market manipulations that yielded those in the know returns of 20+% and ended in a crash that wiped out the last ones standing.
And no one seems to care.
5-01-2008 @ 6:43PM
joe said...
So why don't we develop electric cars so oil prices drops?
I guess that is too simple for the genuses running this country.
5-02-2008 @ 12:50AM
james carter said...
HOW ABOUT LOWERING GAS PRICES YOU GREEDY BASTEREDS SURE CAN PUSH THEM UP WHEN OIL GOES UP 1 CENT NOW LOWER THEM THIS MESSAGE IS FROM AMERICANS NOT BUSH AND DICKY OR WASHINGTON.
5-02-2008 @ 6:42AM
al coholic said...
In spite of all the talk about Globalization the old expression "When America Sneezes the world gets a cold" is as true as ever.
Ironically, this may be true now more than ever. A huge percentage of the goods that will not be purchased by consumers and businesses here as the recession sets in are imported. The world's economy depends on America's demand and is condemned to suffer when it falls.