Joystiq has your stash of criminally complete GTA IV news!

AOL Money & Finance

Altria (MO) boosts cigarette prices

MO logoAltria Group (NYSE: MO) shares are trading higher after the company announced it is cutting promotional discounts and raising prices on cigarette brands starting today. This move was made to stem losses from lower cigarette volumes. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MO.

After hitting a one-year low of $19.47 in July, the stock hit a one-year high of $24.55 in January. MO opened this morning at $20.75. So far today the stock has hit a low of $20.50 and a high of $20.86. As of 12:40, MO is trading at $20.79, up $0.36 (1.7%). The chart for MO looks bearish but improving, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bull-put credit spread below the $19 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 26% return in just four and a half months as long as MO is above $19 at September expiration. Altria would have to fall by more than 8% before we would start to lose money.

MO hasn't been below $19 at all in the past year and has shown support around $20 recently. This trade could be risky if investors rotate out of historically defensive stocks, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find around $20, where it bottomed out both this past week and back last fall.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither controls bullish hedged positions in MO.

Related Posts

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

Add your comments

Please keep your comments relevant to this blog entry. Email addresses are never displayed, but they are required to confirm your comments.

When you enter your name and email address, you'll be sent a link to confirm your comment, and a password. To leave another comment, just use that password.

To create a live link, simply type the URL (including http://) or email address and we will make it a live link for you. You can put up to 3 URLs in your comments. Line breaks and paragraphs are automatically converted — no need to use <p> or <br> tags.

New Users

Current Users

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-5.8612,986.80
NASDAQ-4.882,528.85
S&P 500+1.781,425.35

Last updated: May 17, 2008: 03:50 AM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

BloggingStocks Featured Video

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

AOL Business News

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

Sponsored Links

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

Weblogs, Inc. Network