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Oil gushes through the $125 mark!

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I know that last thing you probably wanted to hear this morning was that oil prices moved even higher, but that is exactly what is taking place, as oil rose as high as $125.98 and is currently trading at $125.60.

Leading the charge today is the weak dollar as investors continue to seek refuge from the falling U.S. currency in commodities -- most notably, oil. The dollar has fallen today against the euro, the British pound, and the Japanese yen. The euro was sitting at $1.5404 last night, but has moved higher today, up to a current price of $1.5466.

The market is also concerned about the upcoming peak driving season for Americans. With the season getting under way, oil prices will definitely continue to rise, and if gasoline stockpiles continue to fall, you can be sure that gasoline prices are also going to keep moving higher over the next couple of months. Will we see national averages of $4 or greater? I don't think so, but at the current rate prices are moving, nothing is out of the question right now.


The past couple of weeks we have seen several factors affecting oil prices. The falling dollar continues to play a role. Goldman Sachs recently predicted that we will be seeing oil priced between $150 and $200, giving credence to the climb in oil prices. Geopolitical problems caused concerns of supply disruptions: The growing tension in Iraq and threats of possible attacks by Kurdish rebels against U.S. positions there; Iran continuing to flex its muscles against any threats from the United Nations over sanctions due to its nuclear energy program; A bombed oil plant in Nigeria; and now we see increased violence breaking out in Lebanon. Sadly, I could keep adding to the list, but I think you get the point.

While most of us are under the impression that what we need is more oil pumped into the market in order to ease prices, the group that could make that a reality is standing firm on its position that supplies are more than adequate at this time. Of course, I am talking about OPEC. Yesterday, OPEC's secretary general Abdalla Salem El-Badri stated that several OPEC nations have new projects coming online, but are having a hard time finding buyers for the new supplies, indicating that there is not a supply shortage.

Just how high we will see oil prices head before the end of the summer is anyone's guess at this point. I doubt we will be sitting here in a few months talking about $200 oil, but I would definitely not count out $150 oil. This market seems to have a will of its own, and for right now, it is showing no signs of slowing down.

What are your predictions? Will we see $150 oil? $200 Oil? Where do you see oil prices heading? Let us know.

Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last four years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.

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Last updated: November 13, 2009: 12:42 AM

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