XM Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: XMSR) shares are up after the company reported that its subscriber base grew 9.33 million subscribers in March, up from 7.9 million a year earlier. This comes despite the company reporting a first-quarter loss of $129.3 million, or 42 cents per share, this morning, worse than analysts' predictions of a 39 cents per-share loss. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on XMSR.After hitting a one-year high of $16.44 in December, the stock hit a one-year low of $9.62 in January. XMSR opened this morning at $11.90. So far today the stock has hit a low of $11.70 and a high of $12.41. As of 12:30, XMSR is trading at $12.40, up $0.60 (5.1%). The chart for XMSR looks bearish and improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a bearish 2 Stars (out of 5) Sell rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $10 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in just ten weeks as long as XMSR is above $10 at July expiration. XM would have to fall by more than 18% before we would start to lose money.
XMSR hasn't been below $10 by more than a few cents in the past year and has shown support around $11.60 recently. This trade could be risky if something about the XM-Sirius (NASDAQ: SIRI) deal goes wrong, but even if that happens, that position could be protected by support the stock might find just above $10, where it has bounced quite a few times over the past year.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in XMSR or SIRI.










