The Associated Press reports that talks between Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) may be back on. In a statement Sunday, Microsoft says it is considering a different kind of deal with Yahoo. "Microsoft is not proposing to make a new bid to acquire all of Yahoo at this time, but reserves the right to reconsider that alternative."
This news will come as good news to Carl Icahn who launched an effort to oust Yahoo's board. I think he is an aggressive representative of the wave of institutional investors who would like nothing more than to make a quick buck on their Yahoo shares. Those investors were sorely disappointed that Microsoft and Yahoo could not come to terms on a deal a few weeks ago.
However, the current talks seem quite vague at this point. Yet they could be Yahoo's direct response to Icahn who, according to the Wall Street Journal, told Yahoo's board it could quickly quell Icahn's shareholder revolt by renewing negotiations with Microsoft -- but Microsoft warned that it's possible no deal will be struck. So we wait...
Update. The New York Times reports that Microsoft is proposing a search-engine marketing alliance with Yahoo to help Microsoft gain share against Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Yahoo could announce a formal agreement on a partnership with Google this week. A Yahoo-Google partnership, which is likely to face antitrust scrutiny, could make Yahoo a less desirable partner or takeover candidate for Microsoft.
Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
5-18-2008 @ 8:22PM
CrossProfit said...
We still see a less than 50% chance that anything other than an Icahn proxy fight occurring. You have to know the personalities involved in order to gauge this correctly.
As an aside, Google is not looking to go through anti-trust proceedings again. Hence, all the talk of a 'partnership' is nonsense. This means that MSFT will not 'scare' easily, no matter how many articles are written by YHOO shareholders or their proxy's in an attempt to rejuvenate a lost opportunity.
Should MSFT return to the buying table it will be after a proxy threat or fight and at a lower price than $33. Another prerequisite for this to happen is that some time has to pass before a knew offer is made.
The market price (PPS) reflects the odds of this occurring. Until YHOO trades in the $29 range, nothing is going down. It could be 3 or 6 months before anything happens...and who knows, if the U.S. does go into recession (formally), the price will automatically adjust lower.
CrossProfit
http://www.crossprofit.com
5-18-2008 @ 11:23PM
Rob said...
Who knows about these guys, in the meanwhile I keep my eye on the market here:
http://wallastoninvestments.com/