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Lowe's, Home Depot expected to post Q2 profit declines

Earlier this week, Jim Cramer pondered whether the U.S. economy had reached bottom, given such recent signs as stronger-than-expected retail sales and investor interest in homebuilders. In particular, he said he's looking at next week's quarterly results from Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) and Home Depot (NYSE: HD) as a sign for the housing sector and for the potential market rally.

Lowe's is expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to report second-quarter earnings of 39 cents per share, down 18.8% from 48 cents per share in the same period in 2007, but up 28.2% from 28 cents per share in the previous quarter. The company has provided positive surprises in four of the past five quarters.

North Carolina-based Lowe's is the second-largest U.S. home improvement chain, behind rival Home Depot, and the second-largest appliance retailer after Sears (NYSE: SHLD). In the past year, the company's revenues were $48.2 billion and its net income totaled $2.8 billion. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 12.7%, which is better than its industry average. The consensus recommendation of analysts remains to buy Lowe's.

The stock is up 9.9% since the beginning of the year, but has fallen 20.5% from a year ago. It trades at a P/E ratio of 13.38. Shares closed Friday at $24.89.

Home Depot is expected to report second-quarter earnings of 37 cents per share, down 22.9% from 48 cents per share in the year-ago period, as well as down 8.1% from 40 cents per share in the previous quarter. The company has tended to fall short of estimates recently, by nearly 7% in the first quarter.

Atlanta-based Home Depot is the largest U.S. home improvement chain, and the second-largest retailer in the U.S. after Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT). In the past year, Home Depot's revenues were $77.3 billion and its net income totaled $4.5 billion. The company's long-range EPS growth forecast is 11.09%, better than the industry average but a little less than Lowe's. The consensus recommendation of analysts is still to buy Home Depot, but has been inching toward hold.

The share price is up 8.4% since the beginning of the year, but has fallen 24.2% from a year ago. It trades at a P/E ratio of 12.82. Shares closed Friday at $29.10.

Lowe's is scheduled to report earnings Monday morning, Home Depot on Tuesday morning.

For more news that could influence the results, see BloggingStocks' Lowe's coverage and Home Depot coverage.

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Last updated: July 09, 2008: 08:29 AM

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