Is the bell tolling for Providence Equity Partners' $51 billion Bell Canada buyout?


If we needed another sign that private equity is passe, we need go no further than to look at the current issue of Fortune, which shares a parent, Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), with BloggingStocks. To be fair, Fortune added an update to its web site about the tottering deal. It's a shame because the Fortune article paints such a glowing portrait of Providence Equity Partner's CEO Jonathan Nelson and praises him for doing the biggest deal ever -- the $51 billion takeover of Bell Canada parent BCE (NYSE: BCE) whose stock is down 5.7% this morning.

Regrettably for Nelson and Fortune, the New York Times reports this morning that the deal looks to be imperiled. It quotes one executive who read the revised bank terms: "It's patently obvious that the banks have no intention of closing the deal." These banks -- led by Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), Deutsche Bank, and the Royal Bank of Scotland -- sent revised terms to the consortium of buyers. which included higher interest rates, tighter loan restrictions and stronger protections for the banks, far exceeding the original terms.

Fortune has a photo of Nelson sitting in a comfortable chair with his hands in a position that communicates "I am smarter than you." It will be interesting to see whether he can use those smarts to close this $51 billion deal. If he does, then he will certainly deserve the encomiums that Fortune heaps on him. Fifteen months ago I appeared on CNBC to discuss whether private equity had peaked. I think Fortune's Private Money 2008 package answers that question in the affirmative -- with the cover story jinx.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns Citigroup shares and has no financial interest in the other securities mentioned.

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Last updated: February 09, 2012: 09:03 PM

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