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BJ's profits from consumers' recession diet

The Wall Street Journal reports that BJ's Wholesale Club (NYSE: BJ) reported a 26% rise in net income. Its earnings of 29 cents a share beat analysts' expectations by a penny. And as consumers go on their crash recession diet, BJ's is likely to continue to exceed expectations. I would not be surprised if its stock keeps rising.

That's because results are growing faster than had been expected. The Journal reports that BJ's revenue climbed 12% to $2.31 billion. Earlier this month, BJ's said net sales increased 12% to $2.26 billion, as same-store sales rose 9.6%, with gasoline sales contributing 3.9 percentage points to the rise. And BJ's raised its EPS guidance by six cents to $2.04 to $2.14 a share. The mean estimate was $2.06 a share.

BJ's joins two beneficiaries of consumers' recession diet -- Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) and TJX Co's (NYSE: TJX) -- caused by the rising price of gasoline coupled with flat income and collapsed housing values. After all, if you can't borrow against your house and your credit cards are maxed out, where are you going to turn to keep your family functioning?

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned.

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Last updated: July 06, 2008: 03:37 AM

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