Western Digital Corporation (NYSE: WDC) designs,
develops, manufactures and markets hard drives. Its devices are used for non-volatile data storage in personal computers, servers, network storage, video game consoles, digital video recording devices and TV set-top boxes. The firm sells its products worldwide to manufacturers, distributors and such retailers as Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN), Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) and Target (NYSE: TGT).
Shareholders were pleased last week, when Robert Baird issued positive remarks regarding Western Digital's prospects. Baird noted healthy overall trends in the hard disk drive industry and believed that Western's recent acquisition of Komag gave it a strategic advantage over many competitors. Also last week, Caris boosted its Western Digital unit estimates.
WDC shares
popped on the news and then moved into a bullish "flag" consolidation pattern. Prices frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that would be to the upside.
Brokers recommend the shares with two "strong buys", five "buys", ten "holds" and one "underperform". The WDC P/E ratio (9.08), PEG ratio (0.68), Price to Sales ratio (1.04), Price to Cash Flow ratio (6.28), Price to Free Cash Flow ratio (10.04), Sales Growth rate (49.72%), EPS Growth rate (130.38%), Return on Assets (24.07%), Return on Investment (37.34%) and Return on Equity (43.81%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutions own about 92% of the outstanding shares. The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 400 MidCap Index. Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $17.31 and $35.94. A stop-loss of $30.00 looks good here.
Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com. He does not hold positions in any of the stocks mentioned above.










Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
5-22-2008 @ 10:12PM
shaun said...
If you have a stop loss at $30 you are giving it an awful lot of room to fall. If the stock moves below $34 you would pretty much know you are wrong. Why don't you have your stop a little higher?
http://www.stocks-simplified.com
5-27-2008 @ 12:22PM
ldschutts said...
Shaun,
In defining a stop-loss, my goal is normally to find a level which appears capable of supporting a stock through a short-term market consolidation. I declare these "action" points, in order to help folks avoid panic selling of a fundamentally sound issue that stands a good chance of rebounding nicely from such a pull-back. My stop-losses often correspond to technical support levels, as was case for WDC (50-day moving average). What you seem to prefer is a stop-loss based on the break-down of the technically promising indicator pattern. That's fine, too. In fact, if your tolerance for risk is low, that's just the way to go. As you have correctly observed, the WDC flag would be "violated" by a price drop below about $34. Sound stocks can fall out of a flag and then pop back in a day or two, but if your idea of comfort is to sell as soon as the price passes below the underside of the flag, no problem. Your loss will be minimal and there will always be another stock with a promising pattern that will work just fine.
Regards,
Larry Schutts