Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD) shares opened in the green this morning but have dropped as the day moved on after rumors surfaced that the EU was planning to take action against competitor Intel (NASDAQ: INTC). AMD headed back down after the EU denied that it has yet reached a decision in the matter. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on AMD.
After hitting a one-year high of $16.19 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $5.31 in January. This morning, AMD opened at 7.01. So far today the stock has hit a low of $6.77 and a high of $7.07. As of 12:45, AMD is trading at $6.80, down $0.12 (-1.7%). The chart for AMD looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bear-call credit spread above the $9 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in five months as long as AMD is below $9 at October expiration. AMD would have to rise by more than 32% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
AMD hasn't been above $9 since December and has shown resistance around $7.20 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in mud-July) are a positive surprise, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance AMD might find around $9 from its 200-day moving average.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in AMD.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
5-28-2008 @ 3:37PM
gumbo koontz said...
Brent
Your writings are contrarians ' s favorite whipping ass boy!!
5-28-2008 @ 4:06PM
Exiled Legend said...
noooo
5-28-2008 @ 8:16PM
Rick said...
Intel is so far ahead of any company I could see it increasing prices for its processors...amazing tech!
AMD is what Cramer means when he speaks of old tech