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Paulson talks strong dollar, acts weak

Posted Jun 1st 2008 9:32AM by Peter Cohan
Filed under: Consumer experience, Middle East, Economic data, Politics, Oil, Federal Reserve

Reuters reports that Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson is in the middle of oil country -- Qatar -- talking about how a strong dollar is in the U.S. interest. With the dollar down 72% since January 2001, it would be nice if Paulson would use his power to strengthen the dollar.

Unfortunately, he doesn't have enough power or chooses not to use it. The power to influence the strength of the dollar resides in the Oval Office. With a $410 billion budget deficit, $9.4 trillion in government borrowing, and interest rates that have dropped from 5.25% to 2% since August, it's not a big surprise that the dollar is so weak.

And since oil is denominated in those ever-weaker dollars, the price of gasoline tops $4 a gallon -- a big "surprise" to the Oval Office occupant. Nevertheless, this is great news for Qatar and its neighboring countries. Our leaders are protecting the interests of those Middle Eastern countries -- both through military policies and economic ones -- while talking about a strong dollar.

Those countries have outsourced their military defense to the U.S. And the rest of us are paying the price.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter.

Tags: budget deficit, BudgetDeficit, federal debt, FederalDebt, hank paulson, HankPaulson, interest rates, InterestRates, oil prices, OilPrices, oval office, OvalOffice, qatar, weak dollar, WeakDollar

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