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OPEC wants an oil price 'solution' from producer, consumer meeting

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OPEC said Wednesday it wants a "solution" to end record-high oil prices, including an examination of the role speculators and governments of consuming and producing nations, when it meets later this month in Saudi Arabia, Bloomberg News reported.

Saudi Arabia, the world's top oil exporter and holder of the largest proved oil reserves, said it wants heads of state from consumer/producer nations to attend the June 22 meeting in Jeddah, Reuters reported, although it was unclear if any heads of state outside the cartel will attend the meeting.

A International Energy Agency official said the IEA's Executive Director Nobuo Tanaka would attend the meeting.

After a week-long pullpack with many traders calling a correction in a bull market, oil's seemingly inexorable drive to a price few individuals or companies can afford continued Wednesday. Oil closed up $5.11 to $136.42 per barrel after the U.S. Energy Information Administration announced a below-consensus 4.6-million-barrel decline in weekly oil inventories.

Although OPEC's previous meeting in Rome led to no new insights regarding oil, OPEC General Secretary Abdalla el-Badri told Bloomberg News this meeting will be different: "This one is different. This one is specifically to tackle the high oil prices, why they are high, who is to blame," el-Badri said. "Is this a real shortage in the market, or speculation, or the dollar? What is wrong?"


Independent energy trader Jim Dietz offered a theory regarding what's wrong. Dietz told BloggingStocks Wednesday the U.S.'s failure to increase vehicle fuel efficiency, combined with surging emerging market oil demand, and OPEC's failure to increase supply in 2006, are the major factors that have driven oil to the stratosphere. "There are other factors, including the dollar, and the U.S. clearly is not exempt from blame, but to say OPEC did not play a role would be to state a fiction," Dietz said. Dietz added that he is long with oil and unleaded gasoline with monthly contracts.

Oil Analysis: The operative phrase here is 'a day late, and a dollar short,' except that OPEC has been about two years late and about $100 short. In a policy that nearly replicates OPEC's response during the 1979-80 oil shock, OPEC, once again, refused to increase production when it knew that a failure to do so would lead to record-high oil prices. That lack of production led to $40 per barrel oil ($100 per barrel in current dollars) and an economic recession in 1979-80.

Would a 1 million barrel per day annual increase in OPEC's production beginning in early 2006 have prevented oil's price from rising? No. But the world would not be facing $135 per barrel (and likely higher) oil today, and more than likely both a U.S. recession and a global economic slowdown would have been averted. OPEC's production freeze in 2006 was a policy mistake of the very worst sort -- one that has hurt the developed world's economies and that has set back economic progress in emerging market nations.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 06:41 PM

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