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Citigroup announces more writedowns, I'd stay away

And you thought it was all over. Well, you weren't alone. Many bank executives thought the same thing, that we've seen the worst of the writedowns banks were taking as a result of the subprime mortgage collapse.

So when today Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), the bank responsible for 10% of the total writedowns due to the subprime and credit crisis, announced it "would suffer more "substantial" write-downs on debt investments in the second quarter," many were taken aback. Sure, the CFO said that sequentially, Citi would write down less than in the first quarter, but he also said the marks are "sizable" and gave the impression they will likely go into the next few quarters. Credit markets remain tight, he said.

Perhaps we've seen the worst, if I insist on being optimistic, but we surely haven't seen the last. Just in the past week we heard from Lehman (NYSE: LEH), AIG (NYSE: AIG), UBS (NYSE: UBS) and Fifth Third (NASDAQ: FITB). We heard of writedowns, asset sales and capital raises, none of which gave much confidence about financials and the credit markets, but there was the lingering hope we were seeing the last few hiccups (large as they were).

Still, people remained cautious and I didn't hear pounding the table to get into bank stocks, although no one could deny that some financials saw some recovery since mid-March. It was also somewhat puzzling that Citi managed to raise just over a month ago some $4.5 billion from its public offering. Meaning, there were buyers at $25 and change. The stock closed at $20.17 today after dipping to $19.41 earlier in the session.

OK, so I know we're supposed to be forward looking when investing, but there are some stocks in some sectors I simply wouldn't touch. Not all of them, of course. I'd much rather take my chances with Goldman (NYSE: GS).

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Last updated: November 22, 2008: 10:37 AM

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