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What will be the end of Ford? Shares plunge as losses mount

It's become nearly tiresome by now -- car companies, especially one of the Big Three, announcing yet another production cut or shift, job cut, reorg, sales decline, losses, what not. If Thursday it was GM's turn, Friday it was Ford's turn. Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) said it "will delay introduction of its new F-150 pickup truck by two months and further cut production because of the declining market for pickups and sport utility vehicles."

If it wasn't so genuinely sad, and the implication of this, big picture wise, weren't so alarming, I might just say, boo hoo. The problem is, though, as much as I tend to shake my head when reading this and think "haven't you seen the writing on the wall," I'm more concerned about what all this could mean.

If you recall, only last quarter Ford surprised us with a profit. Yes, a profit. Then, not long after that, Ford said it no longer anticipates to return to profit in 2009. Today, Ford also said its 2008 financial results will actually be worse than the $2.7 billion loss it recorded in 2007.

Sure, some of it isn't Ford's fault. The housing slowdown, the economy grinding to a halt, the credit crunch, inflation and oil -- these are all external factors. But some of it is its fault -- the part that relates to Ford's lack of vision, misreading the market and consumer trend and clinging to old school methods. And that's why I'm mad. Ford has an impact on many people's lives, from employees to shareholders and it has a responsibility to all of them, one that may soon falter completely.

So now Ford knows that smaller is better and that people would love a good hybrid, even electric, if there was one. I'm glad this all finally managed to sink in.

Meanwhile, Kirk Kerkorian, through Tracinda Corp., is increasing his holding in the automaker. His stake now stands at 6.5%. While I've long lost confidence in his ability to turn a car company around, the optimist in me would like to believe his own (at least public) confidence in Mulally and company isn't misplaced. If anything, because of his holding, perhaps there's hope for Ford yet. Can't hurt to hope (although I wouldn't put my money on it).

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Last updated: November 22, 2008: 10:37 AM

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