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Consumer confidence falls to fifth lowest reading in index's history

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U.S. consumer confidence declined to 50.4 in June -- the fifth lowest reading in the index's history -- as consumers continued to express concern over a stagnant economy and virtually non-existent job growth, The Conference Board announced Tuesday.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News had expected the index to drop to 56.5 in June. Consumer confidence index stood at 58.1 in May, 62.8 in April, 65.9 in March, and 76.4 in February.

The board said consumers' evaluation of present-day conditions weakened further in June. Those claiming business conditions are "bad" increased to 32.4% from 29.7%, while those claiming business conditions are "good" declined to 11.5% from 13.0%.

Consumers' assessment of the job market was considerably more pessimistic than last month. Those saying jobs are "hard to get" rose to 30.5% from 28.3, while those claiming jobs are "plentiful" decreased to 14.1% from 16.1%.


Further, the board said consumers' short-term expectations continued to deteriorate in June. Consumers expecting business conditions to worsen over the next six months increased to 33.9% from 32.9%, while those anticipating business conditions to improve decreased to 8.8% from 10.6%.

Economic Analysis: Once again, in June, the consumer confidence headline says it all, namely: U.S. consumer confidence is very low. The slow growth / no growth U.S. economy is weighing on the typical person's outlook, which is understandable. Stagnant wages for many, record-high energy prices, increasing food prices, uncertain corporate earnings prospects, and the worst housing recession in more than 15 years, suggest difficult economic circumstances for many Americans, and one would expect it to show up in polls / consumer surveys.

In sum, one doesn't have to be a home builder or seller to feel the effects of the U.S. economic slowdown. The public (correctly) senses that economic conditions are not good for individuals and businesses; it will take several months of positive economic data points to reverse this outlook.

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Last updated: November 27, 2009: 04:23 PM

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