Petroleo Brasileiro: Profit from those rising prices at the gas pump

Readers of this space know that one argument I forward here is that in the era of elevated energy prices, oil/natural gas companies are likely to remain promising plays for the foreseeable future, barring the discovery of a cheap, widely-available, alternative energy. And among oil/natural gas companies, Petroleo Brasileiro is worth a review.

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) is Brazil's largest industrial operation, with oil/gas production, refining and purchasing businesses, and oil/gas transport services.

(Note: Petroleo's shares split 2-for-1 in May 2008.)

Analysts really like PBR's proved reserves of 15 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 12,900 wells, 16 refineries, 31,000 kilometers of pipeline, and astounding 5,870 gasoline stations. Further, analysts see 2008 production rising about 11-14%. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for PBR are $4.91/$5.03.

The risks? Analysts have their eye on PBR's operating costs. Also, PBR's concentration in Brazil means a downturn in that country's economy will hurt results.

Stock Analysis: Petroleo Brasileiro is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Investors with an investment horizon longer than two years should be rewarded from PBR's shares. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to purchase shares in this company: $78.

Disclosure: Lazzaro has no positions in stocks. In addition to private real estate holdings, he owns corporate and municipal bonds, and cash certificates of deposit.