Priceline.com (PCLN) pulled lower by analyst commentary


PCLN logoPriceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) shares are falling today after an analyst at Citi Investment Research reiterated his hold rating on PCLN and dropped his price target to $142, citing weakness in European travel. Citi also removed competitor Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) from its Top Picks Live list, cut the price target on EXPE as well. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on PCLN.

After hitting a one-year low of $59.50 in August, the stock hit a one-year high of $144.34 in May. This morning, PCLN opened at $119.78. So far today the stock has hit a low of $114.38 and a high of $121.95. As of 12:10, PCLN is trading at $117.95, down $7.18 (-5.7%). The chart for PCLN looks neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 Stars (out of 5) Hold rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bear-call credit spread above the $155 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 5.3% return in seven weeks as long as PCLN is below $155 at August expiration. PCLN would have to rise by more than 32% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

PCLN hasn't been above $145 at all in the past year and has shown resistance around $132 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in early August) are a positive surprise, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance PCLN might find around $140, where it topped out in May.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in PCLN or EXPE.
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Last updated: February 13, 2012: 02:46 AM

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