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Short sellers gamble GM's prospects will get worse

The second largest increase in short position among all stocks traded on the NYSE was for General Motors (NYSE: GM). Shares sold short in America's largest car company moved up 27%, or 35 million, to 152.9 million. The change took place between June 13 and June 30.

The increase is amazing given that GM has been trading at a 54-year low of $9.14; short sellers are investing based on that price going lower.

But, the gamble may be a smart one. Several Wall Street analysts believe that GM may have to raise over $10 billion due to the slowdown in U.S. car sales. With a market cap of only $5.6 billion, shareholders would face huge dilution that could easily push the stock toward $5.

GM's says it will not take the route of bankruptcy, but the promise may be empty. By some estimates, the company is losing $1 billion a month in its North American operations. In the current credit environment, GM may find that selling common shares or raising debt will be difficult. Borrowing money with its "junk" debt rating could come at a very, very high price.

GM is still in terrible financial trouble and short sellers are willing to capitalize on that. They are likely to make a bundle.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Last updated: September 06, 2008: 02:01 PM

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