Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) shares are trading higher today after an analyst wrote in the Wall Street Journal over the weekend that despite rises in oil prices, many oil stocks and oil service companies are undervalued based on price/earnings ratios. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on HAL.After hitting a one-year low of $30.00 in January, the stock hit a one-year high of $55.38 earlier this month. HAL opened this morning at $48.23. So far today the stock has hit a low of $48.23 and a high of $50.08. As of 1:05, HAL is trading at $48.90, up $1.03 (2.1%). The chart for HAL looks bullish but deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bull-put credit spread below the $42.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.5% return in just five weeks as long as HAL is above $42.50 at August expiration. Halliburton would have to fall by more than 13% before we would start to lose money.
HAL hasn't been below $44 at all since April and has shown support around $45 recently. This trade could be risky if the price of oil drops off in the coming month, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find around $45 where it formed a bottom in early May.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in HAL.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
7-14-2008 @ 4:14PM
GARKO said...
so glad to hear that the company spotlighted in Iraq For Sale movie, which won a no contest bid for $385 billion from the Feds to build detention centers across the USA, that their stock just went up. lovely!
meanwhile folks, if you are fed up about being sucker punched by these bastards and by the oil companies on a daily basis at the gas pump and if you are frustrated with being forced to pollute the environment with your vehicle's emissions so that you can live your life then I do have good news for YOU.
It is called Water4Gas, it will increase gas mileage while modifying your car emissions so you are not spewing hazardous gasses but primarily water into the environment when you drive and you can install it in your car yourself for under $200 including the parts to assemble the kit and the installation instructions and other tweaks.
See all the happy faces at http://water4gas-reviews.info and join them to fight back against corporate monstrosities like Haliburton!