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McDonald's premium coffee foray may trouble investors

Posted Jul 21st 2008 1:25PM by Douglas McIntyre
Filed under: Earnings reports, Competitive strategy, Starbucks (SBUX), McDonald's (MCD)

McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) program to sell premium coffee is not going well. That would make some sense. Even Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX), the kings of expensive Java, is doing poorly.

According to The Wall Street Journal, "Management may have to defend its giant bet on lattes and cappuccinos, which they want to add at all McDonald's 14,000 U.S. restaurants by next year." The newspaper says that early sales figures for the new drinks are mediocre.

If McDonald's did pull back on its sales of high end coffee-based drinks, it would be the best news Starbucks has had in a couple of years. As US same-store sales growth rates at the chain have fallen, the company's stock has moved from over $40 to below $15. Getting some competition out of the market could be critical to Starbucks recovery.

But Starbucks is not likely to be so lucky. With its massive size and tremendous cash-flow, McDonald's can afford to stay in the premium coffee business for years without a meaningful impact on its earnings. It sells too many hamburgers to be hurt by a slow start in latte sales.

McDonald's can wait Starbucks out and hope that, as things get worse for the coffee company, customers will turn to Ronald McDonald more frequently.

Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at 247wallst.com.

Tags: coffee, fast food, FastFood, inthenews, MCD, restaurant, restaurants, SBUX

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