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Ford moves production to small cars, a bit too late

To no one's surprise, Ford (NYSE: F) will detail its plans to dive into the small car market when it announces earnings on Thursday. It is a lot late to get religion.

According to The New York Times, "as part of the huge bet it is placing on the future direction of the troubled American auto industry, Ford will realign factories to manufacture more fuel-efficient engines." The bet is a smart one, but it may not matter.

Ford is now close to a decade behind the curve. Companies such as Toyota (NYSE: TM) have produced small cars for the US market since the days they began to open dealerships in America as Ford chased immediate profits in pick-ups and SUVs. The margins in these products were outstanding, but their success relied on gas staying at $2 a gallon forever. Things did not work out that way.

Ford will now go through a process of more cost cutting, firings, and expensive retooling of its plants. To make all of this work, the car company will have to borrow money or sell more stock. In either case, current shareholders are likely to be diluted.

Ford has been so slow to move into the market for fuel-efficient vehicles that it may have trouble staying solvent if the US car market stays very soft for the next two years.

That means Ford's future as an independent company could be in jeopardy.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Last updated: August 30, 2008: 09:26 AM

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