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Clues can be found in WMT, ETFs

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Minyanville Professor Quint Tatro dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.

There are a few things I am watching for today to give me better clues as to the internal character of the market.

Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT): It's off on retail numbers after the stock broke out of a four-month consolidation pattern on good volume. If the stock catches a bid, it is an indication that institutional investors are back stalking retail plays and would be bullish for the general market.

Energy ETF (AMEX: XLE): Energy has recently broken a longer term trend going back to mid-2006. It is bouncing off recent lows on very light volume. If money continues to rotate out of this sector, finding a home in the likes of retail, housing and financials, again a bullish sign. I initiated a short position in XLE this morning.

Financial ETF (AMEX: XLF): Financials have been and will continue to be the key to the market's future. After recapturing the 50-day moving average, this ETF is being brought down by AIG (AIG) and needs to regain its footing. Some consolidation is fine, but anything back below $20 would have me heading back towards the bunker.

Homebuilders ETF (AMEX: XHB): The homebuilders continue to perk up and also remain a key to the future of the tape. They are probing green today above their 50-day moving average on decent early volume. A break here above yesterday's high going on to attack the $19.00 level is also a bullish sign.

These are things I am watching for which will give me my clues to start wading back into the market with real capital.

(Prof. Tatro has positions in WMT, XLE, XLF, XHB).

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S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 26, 2009: 01:10 AM

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