Minyanville Professor Quint Tatro dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.
There are a few things I am watching for today to give me better clues as to the internal character of the market.
Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT): It's off on retail numbers after the stock broke out of a four-month consolidation pattern on good volume. If the stock catches a bid, it is an indication that institutional investors are back stalking retail plays and would be bullish for the general market.
Energy ETF (AMEX: XLE): Energy has recently broken a longer term trend going back to mid-2006. It is bouncing off recent lows on very light volume. If money continues to rotate out of this sector, finding a home in the likes of retail, housing and financials, again a bullish sign. I initiated a short position in XLE this morning.
Financial ETF (AMEX: XLF): Financials have been and will continue to be the key to the market's future. After recapturing the 50-day moving average, this ETF is being brought down by AIG (AIG) and needs to regain its footing. Some consolidation is fine, but anything back below $20 would have me heading back towards the bunker.
Homebuilders ETF (AMEX: XHB): The homebuilders continue to perk up and also remain a key to the future of the tape. They are probing green today above their 50-day moving average on decent early volume. A break here above yesterday's high going on to attack the $19.00 level is also a bullish sign.
These are things I am watching for which will give me my clues to start wading back into the market with real capital.
(Prof. Tatro has positions in WMT, XLE, XLF, XHB).
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
8-07-2008 @ 8:49PM
beanspants said...
XLE up on very light volume? While I don't really disagree with your direction, it's wrong to say XLE is up on light volume. It was pushed down on heavy volume (~40-50mm shares daily), and is currently trading back on it's volume before it was pushed down (~30mm shares daily).